Bitcoin Onchain Report: BTC Price Drops Despite Whale Activity and Exchange Outflows

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Active Addresses

Between June 25 and July 2, 1,028,725 active addresses were added to the Bitcoin network. During this period, Bitcoin’s price peaked at $108,000. Notably, a drop in active addresses coincided with the price surge on June 29. The 7-day simple moving average (SMA) reveals a downward trend whenever it crosses the price, signaling weakening buying pressure.

Active Sending Addresses

From June 25 to July 2, active sending addresses exhibited sideways movement. On the day of the price peak, they reached 686,698, suggesting inflows considered the $108,000 level a key resistance point.

Active Receiving Addresses

Active receiving addresses rose steadily alongside the price, peaking at 461,021 during the $108,000 surge. This indicates buyers accumulated BTC at higher valuations.

Onchain Metrics Breakdown

MVRV Ratio

Realized Price

Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR)

Derivatives Market Activity

Open Interest

Bitcoin futures saw volatility:

Funding Rate

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Liquidations Recap

BTC traded between $105,100–$108,700, triggering:

| Date | Long Liquidations ($M) | Short Liquidations ($M) |
|------------|------------------------|-------------------------|
| June 25 | 9.78 | 47.15 |
| June 26 | 19.30 | 35.38 |
| June 27 | 17.92 | 133.71 |
| Total | 137.62 | 290.62 |

Supply Distribution

Total Supply: 19,885,767 BTC (+0.015% weekly).
New Supply: 3,096 BTC mined this week.

Wallet Holdings (Weekly Change)

| Category | June 23 (%) | June 30 (%) | Change |
|----------------|-------------|-------------|---------|
| <1 BTC | 8.4795 | 8.4707 | -0.10% |
| 1–10 BTC | 11.4552 | 11.4290 | -0.22% |
| 10–100 BTC | 24.6075 | 24.6580 | +0.20% |
| 100–1k BTC | 28.9068 | 28.9932 | +0.29% |
| 10k+ BTC | 8.1891 | 8.1292 | -0.73% |

Key Takeaway: Mid-tier holders (10–1k BTC) accumulated, while whales (10k+ BTC) reduced exposure.

Exchange Reserves

Despite outflows, BTC price fell 1.5%, reflecting persistent market pressure.

| Date | Netflow (BTC) | Reserve (BTC) | Price ($) |
|----------|---------------|---------------|-----------|
| June 25 | -1,970 | 2,481,638 | 107,391 |
| July 1 | 2,610 | 2,451,517 | 105,727 |

Miner Activity

Miner Netflow: +10 BTC (31,367 inflows vs. 31,357 outflows).

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Network Activity

Whale Movements

Whale Trend: Long-term holders (2+ years) sold, while medium-term holders (6 months) accumulated.

FAQs

1. Why did BTC price drop despite exchange outflows?

Exchange outflows typically signal accumulation, but concurrent derivatives liquidations and whale selling offset bullish pressure.

2. What does the MVRV ratio indicate?

An MVRV below 2.5 suggests BTC is undervalued relative to its realized price, often preceding rallies.

3. How do miner flows impact price?

Positive miner netflows (more inflows) can indicate selling pressure if miners liquidate holdings.

4. Are whale activities bearish?

Mixed signals—whales balanced exchanges usage, but long-term holder sales capped upside momentum.

5. What’s next for BTC price?

Sideways movement likely until demand surpasses sell pressure from large holders.


Disclaimer: Onchain metrics do not guarantee future price action. Always conduct independent research.

Data Source: CryptoQuant