Ethereum Price Prediction: ETH Challenges $2,850 Resistance as Futures Open Interest Hits Record High

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Key Takeaways:


Ethereum Futures Open Interest Hits All-Time High

Ethereum (ETH) briefly surpassed $2,850 on Wednesday as its futures open interest (OI) skyrocketed to a record 1.51 million ETH. This 12% price surge over three days coincided with aggressive institutional activity:

MetricDataSource
Open Interest1.51M ETH (+157K ETH weekly)Coinglass
CME's ShareDominated by 2x leveraged ETHU ETFK33 Research
Spot ETF Inflows$124.93M (17 consecutive days)SoSoValue

The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) accounted for most OI growth, with the Volatility Shares 2x Leveraged Ethereum ETF (ETHU) driving 305,100 ETH equivalent exposure since April.

"ETHU's dominance raises concerns about overconcentration in CME's ETH derivatives market," noted K33 Research.

Accumulation Addresses Show Strong Demand

Ethereum's accumulation addresses – wallets with no outgoing transactions – received significant inflows:

Notable Pattern: Newly created addresses comprise most accumulation activity, suggesting fresh capital entering the market.


ETH Price Analysis: Breaking Key Levels

Bullish Indicators:

Critical Levels:

Price ZoneSignificance
$2,850Immediate resistance (61.8% Fib)
$3,078Next target (78.6% Fib)
$2,700Key support (200-day SMA)

RSI Watch: Testing overbought territory at 68, suggesting potential consolidation.

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FAQs: Ethereum's Market Outlook

Q: What's driving Ethereum's current price surge?
A: Combination of record futures OI, spot ETF inflows, and accumulation address demand – particularly from institutional players using leveraged products.

Q: How significant is the $2,850 resistance level?
A: A decisive break could open path to $3,400 with minimal resistance, while rejection may test $2,700 support.

Q: Are ETH spot ETFs still accumulating?
A: Yes – 17 straight days of net inflows totaling over $1.2B as of Tuesday.

Q: What risks should traders monitor?
A: Overbought RSI, CME OI concentration, and potential profit-taking near $2,850.

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Disclaimer: This analysis represents the author's perspective only. Cryptocurrency trading involves substantial risk. Consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions. CFDs are complex instruments with high leverage risk – 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs.